The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.
Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.
In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.
“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”
Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.
Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.
The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.
The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.
The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.
Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
Fleetwood’s decision to sell its RV Solutions division, including the well-known Camec business, to Aussie Traveller is another sign that Australia’s caravan sector is still reshaping after a volatile few years. The binding sale agreement, announced on 16 July 2026, puts a $9.5 million headline price on the business and is expected to complete on 1 September 2026. - read more
Fresh caravan loan comparison data published on 15 July 2026 points to a market where headline rates can look attractive, but the difference between a strong application and a weaker one remains significant. For Australians planning to buy a caravan, camper trailer or motorhome, the message is clear: do not judge a loan by the advertised rate alone. - read more
Australia’s interest-rate outlook has become more uncertain, and that matters for anyone planning to buy, upgrade or refinance a caravan in the second half of 2026. Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 16 June decision to keep the cash rate at 4.35%, fresh July forecasts suggest borrowers should not assume relief is just around the corner. - read more
Australia’s caravan sector has entered a sharper adjustment phase, with several Victorian caravan businesses falling into voluntary administration in late June 2026. The latest developments include Sunland RV, X Series RV and Global RV Corp, following the earlier appointment of administrators to Network RV, Network Engineering and Fair Dinkum Caravans. For buyers, the immediate message is not to panic, but to become more disciplined before paying deposits, signing contracts or arranging caravan finance. - read more
Australia’s temporary fuel tax relief is being wound back, and caravan owners are likely to feel the change quickly at the bowser. From 1 July 2026, the current fuel excise relief will continue at a smaller 16 cents per litre reduction until 2 August 2026, rather than the larger short-term discount that has helped soften petrol and diesel prices in recent months. - read more
Caravan travel is becoming increasingly popular among Australians, offering a sense of freedom and adventure that traditional travel methods often cannot match. The allure of waking up to breathtaking views and exploring the country's vast and diverse landscapes makes it an ideal choice for those seeking both spontaneity and comfort. - read more
Embarking on the search for the ideal caravan finance deal can be as exciting as it is daunting. For many Australians, a caravan represents not just a significant financial investment but also the key to unlocking endless adventures on the open road. However, securing the right finance package is crucial to turning those dreams into reality without overburdening one's financial future. - read more
For many Australians, owning a caravan is part of the dream of exploring the open road, planning weekend getaways and seeing more of the country. The upfront cost of buying a caravan can make that dream feel out of reach, but caravan finance may allow buyers to spread the purchase cost over time instead of paying the full amount upfront. - read more
Caravan adventures are an exciting way to explore the expansive beauty of Australia. Whether you're planning a cross-country journey or a short getaway, hitting the road with your caravan promises freedom and exploration. - read more
A caravan loan is a form of finance that can be used to purchase a caravan and spread the cost over time. In Australia, caravan finance may be offered through banks, building societies, credit unions, specialised lenders, dealerships and other finance providers. The main options include secured caravan loans, unsecured personal loans, dealership finance and peer-to-peer lending. - read more
Start Here
Get a free caravan finance eligibility assessment and compare options
tailored specifically to your circumstances.
Knowledgebase
Inflation: The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.