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OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning about a potential slowdown in Australia's economic growth over the next two years.

This prediction comes against the backdrop of heightened global uncertainty, spurred by trade policies introduced by US President Donald Trump.

The OECD projects Australia’s GDP to rise to 1.9% in 2025 but slip slightly to 1.8% in 2026, falling short of earlier expectations laid out in their December report.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

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Finance News

Zone RV's Financial Collapse Exposes $40 Million Debt

12 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The recent collapse of luxury caravan manufacturer Zone RV has sent shockwaves through the Australian caravan industry. Based in Coolum on Queensland's Sunshine Coast, the company entered voluntary administration, revealing debts amounting to approximately $40 million. This development has left around 240 employees unemployed and approximately 180 customers uncertain about the status of their purchases. - read more

Multiple Collapses Shake Australian Caravan Manufacturing Industry

12 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian caravan manufacturing industry is currently facing a series of company collapses, raising concerns about the sector's stability and future. The recent voluntary administration of Zone RV, a luxury caravan manufacturer based in Coolum, Queensland, is the latest in a string of closures that have left customers and employees in uncertain positions. - read more

Zone RV's Financial Collapse: A $40 Million Debt Unveiled

04 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The recent collapse of luxury caravan manufacturer Zone RV has sent shockwaves through the Australian caravan industry. The company, based in Coolum on Queensland's Sunshine Coast, has entered voluntary administration, revealing debts amounting to approximately $40 million. This development has left around 240 employees unemployed and approximately 180 customers uncertain about the status of their purchases. - read more

Housing Shortage in WA's South West Strains Caravan Parks

27 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Caravan parks in Western Australia's South West are grappling with the effects of a severe housing shortage, as an increasing number of individuals and families turn to these facilities for long-term accommodation. This shift is placing significant pressure on park owners, who traditionally cater to tourists and short-term visitors. - read more

Zone RV's Administration Signals Industry Challenges

19 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian caravan industry has recently faced significant upheaval with the voluntary administration of Zone RV, a prominent luxury off-road caravan manufacturer based on Queensland's Sunshine Coast. This development has left approximately 250 employees and numerous customers in a state of uncertainty, particularly as the holiday season approaches. - read more

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